Goias vs Atletico-PR Match Preview

Atlético Paranaense is hosted by Goias in the 16th round of the Brazilian Serie A.

The hosts are coming off an away defeat (1-0) against America Mineiro, a result that keeps them in the relegation zone as they are in 17th place. In the last six games, they have just one win, 2 draws and three defeats but at home, they are very competitive with just one defeat, four draws, and two wins so far. Judging from their last game, they will line up in more aggressive moods than usual, since with home draws they could not survive in Brazilian Serie A. Undoubtedly, this is a double-edged sword as teams like Atlético Paranaense are dangerous and punishing on the counterattack.

The visitors of Luiz Felipe Scolari, after the away victory (2-0) against the first placed Palmeira, returned from Paraguay with the ticket for the quarter-finals of the Copa Libertadores in their luggage. Undoubtedly, Atlético Paranaense is in excellent form. In the last six league games, they have four wins and two draws, allowing them to dream of winning both major competitions they participate in. A logical consequence of the midweek match is fatigue both competitively and mentally. Still, Scolari's side has a number of capable players so that, under the watch of the newly acquired former M. City captain Fernandinho, (he is eligible to participate after the 18th of the month) to make five away home wins in nine games.

I think the away win at 2.72 odds is a value pick and I'll risk a 3-unit bet without hesitation.