Guimaraes vs Famalicao Match Preview

Vitoria Guimaraes welcomes Famalicao in the eleventh round of the Portuguese Primeira.

The hosts are coming off a 3-2 home win over Boavista in a game where they trailed until the eighty-seventh minute. In the last five games, they are unbeaten with three wins and two draws, a record that has lifted them to sixth place in the standings. With a possible victory over Famalicao, they will rise to fifth place and with a combination of results very likely to fourth place.

The visitors, on the other hand, beat Pacos Ferreira at home 2-1, thus achieving their second victory in the last six games. Famalicao's Achilles heel is the away games as away from home they scored just one goal in five games and conceded eight. Their only points away from home were two months ago in a 0-0 draw with Gil Vicente.

In conclusion, the hosts clearly have the first say for the victory since they have a better team and also have the home advantage. Their form is very likely to continue which is underestimated by the odds since the home win is priced at 2.10 meaning under 50% chance of winning. I will stake 10 units, even more conservatively, on the double chance 1X at 1.36 odds.