Lincoln Red Imps vs Tobol Match Preview

Gibraltar champions Lincoln Red Ibs host Kazakhstan champions Tobol Kostanay in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round replay.

The hosts have experience in European competitions having won seven championships in the last nine years, which is a significant advantage against the Kazakhs. The 2-0 defeat in the first leg undoubtedly hampers their bid to repeat last year's run in Europe where they reached the Europa Conference League groups, but they will be chasing any chance of qualification. In the first round of the UEFA Champions League, despite losing the first leg 3-0 to Skopje, they fought back in the second leg and won 2-0 which shows that they are not laying down their arms without a fight.

On the contrary, the guests after eleven years managed to be crowned champions which led them to the qualifiers of the top inter-club competition. At home they were tied with Ferencvaros, but away from home they lost 5-1. The league in Kazakhstan is in its 15th matchday with Tobol four points off the top after a poor campaign away from home with five points from seven matches.

In conclusion, I consider the home team to be an experienced and capable team that will not surrender unconditionally. The odds suggest the away side's chance of winning is over 42% which for me is too much and I will go against it by betting 4 points on the home team's +0.5 handicap at odds of 1.72.