Home advantage and motivation point to the home win

Pachuca registered a huge win (9-2) over Veracruz two weeks ago and then they drew 2-2 with Necaxa in a game on the road. Pachuca's positive results are mostly in front of their fans, where they are still undefeated in the League (7/7 wins and 25-5 goals). They haven't won away from home yet. They sit on the 6th place of the table, having 25 points and a win tonight will be essential for their participation in the playoffs of Liga MX. Their upcoming game is taking place in first-placed Leon's home. 

Atlas are disappointing so far in Liga MX and the cannot hope for a ticket to the top-eight. They made some decent efforts with the wins over Santos Laguna (1-0) and Veracruz (0-1), but when things got serious they couldn't do anything. They suffered a 1-2 loss to Necaxa at home and a huge 5-2 loss to first-placed Leon in the previous round. They are finishing the season with the home game vs Monterrey.

Pachuca target a win to secure their place in the top-eight of Liga MX and they are the favorites at home vs weak Atlas. I found the home win at quite low odds but I cannot see anything different here.