Home team are the favorites

Qarabag had clearly the upper hand in the first leg. Their performance and all these missed chances could lead to a win in Dundalk's home. They deserved not only the win but even also a qualifying score, that would secure the qualification to the third round of Champions League Qualifiers. They were lucky enough to score at the 4th minute and they could haved score a couple more goals till the end of the first half. Champions of Azerbaijan participate in the group stage of a European tournament for the last 5 years, so they've got the required experience for games in this level. This fact could definitely help them against Dundalk.

On the other hand, it was quite hard for Dundalk to reach the second qualification round. They qualified over Riga through the penalty shootout, after to close games. In both games vs Riga, as well as the first leg vs Qarabag, the Irish team had a completely mediocre performance, definitely not enough to reach the third qualification round.

Qarabag are superior in quality and experience to Dundalk. I believe that tonight's game is going to be an easy one for them and they can win with more than one goal difference. Qarabag to cover the 1.5 Asian handicap is my call.