They gotta risk it to get the biscuit

Gremio were the favorites for the first place in their group from the beginning. However, things did not come out as expected for the 'Tricolor' since their bad start left them behind. Now they are fighting for the second place after their defeats to Libertad (0-1) at home and their current opponent in Chile. In their last games, things got better as they won 3-1 over Rosario Central and 0-2 over Libertad in Asuncion, so even a point tonight can give them the second place. In the Brazilian Serie A League, they suffered a 4-5 loss to Fluminense. Suspended Matheus Henrique and injured Diego Tardelli won't be available for the head coach Renato Gaúcho.

Universidad Catolica played a 1-1 draw with Rosario Central in Argentina. Now they have 7 points as Gremio and if they want a ticket for the last 16 they have to win tonight since the draw won't be enough for them. In the Chilean League, they suffered a 1-0 loss in O'Higgins' home but that didn't affect their place on the top of the table. They have to fight tonight for the positive result and they will surely do so in Porto Alegre. 

Gremio has both the quality and the home advantage on their side to win a game lik this one. Universidad Catolica has no other chance but to risk for the win. I expect goals in this match, over 2.5 goals is my call.