Atletico Paranaense vs Goias Match Preview

Although Atletico Paranaense are not so desperate for points for the rest of the season, they managed to keep title contenders Palmeiras away from the win. The 1-1 draw was deserved outcome for both teams, who scored their goals in the first half. It's worth mentioning that Atletico Paranaense as the winners of the Brazilian Cup, have secured their participation in next season's Copa Libertadores group stage, so they are quite relaxed in the remaining 11 games of the Brazilian Serie A. Midfielder Camacho served his suspension after been caught for drug use and he will probably be in the squad tonight, for the first time after 6 months.

Goias target a place in the top-12 to secure their participation in next season's Copa Sudamericana. There are only 11 rounds left and it's difficult to reach the 6th place, from which they are 7 points away to, participate in Copa Libertadores, since the teams of the top 6 have better quality and greater experience than them. In their midweek game for the Verde Cup, they were eliminated from the final through the penalty shootout. They mostly performed with a rotated team in this competition, not of great importance actually. The experienced midfielder Gilberto Santos is still missing tonight.

These two teams have one point difference (Atletico Paranaense is 9th-placed with 39 points, Goias is 10th-placed with 38 points) so I can't understand this huge difference in the offered odds (1.40 - 10.00). Goias are quite dangerous in their games on the road (3-3-8), plus they have a bigger motive than their rivals who are quite relaxed for the rest of the season. The chances for Goias to get the away win vs a not so strong home team (7-2-4 is Atletico's home record) are more than 10% that indicate the offered odds. The away win at 10.00+ is my call!