Betting on the underdog

Cagliari are based on their home this season, they've got 20 points, having 7 more than the relegation zone. By eliminating Serie A bottom blaced Chievo (2-1) in an away game in the previous round, they reached the last 16 of the Coppa Italia and tonight there's a chance to go even further in the tournament, due to their home advantage. The newcomer midfielder V.Birsa will perform for the first time tonight, in contrast to A.Cerri, L.Castro and R.Klavan. D.Dessena is no longer the captain of the team as he will perform with Brescia from now on.

Atalanta who got a huge away win 6-2 vs Sassuolo in the last game of 2018, are now in the first half of the table of Serie A. Tonight they are playing their first cup game, since based on Coppa Italia's regulation, whoever reach the top 8 of Serie A, start from the 4th round. The guests have many absences tonight, including goalkeeper E.Berisha, defenders Ali Adnan A.Masiello, R.Gosens and midfielders M.de Roon, E.Rigoni.

Atalanta are a more quality team, but Cagliari are always strong in front of their fans (3-5-1 their Serie A record). Plus, the home team have won Atalanta 8 times in their last 12 h2h games in Sardinia. Based on the fact that this is the first game after the winter break and that the Cup has it's own peculiarities, I will bet on the big priced Atalanta's win.